2024-12-14 01:13:37
Fang Yi, Chief Strategy Officer of Guotai Junan: The conditions of "transformation cattle" in China stock market are forming four themes, focusing on mergers and acquisitions and self-control. Fang Yi, Chief Analyst of Guotai Junan Strategy, said at the main forum of Guotai Junan 2025 investment strategy that the bottom of China stock market has appeared, and the conditions of "transformation cattle" are forming; The key driving force of the market comes from the decline of risk-free interest rate and the boost of risk preference, and the economic expectation is expected to be revised up in 2025H2; The mid-line of the stock market is expected to get out of the N-rhythm. Theme recommendation: merger and reorganization/self-control/humanoid robot/self-consumption. 1) M&A and reorganization: the regulatory tolerance of cross-border M&A and acquisition of unprofitable assets has been improved, and we are optimistic about the traditional industry leaders who are the main enterprises of science and technology chain and benefit from the optimization of industry structure; 2) Self-control: global science and technology supply chain reconstruction, optimistic about the improvement of localization rate of advanced semiconductors/basic software; 3) Humanoid robot: mass production and application scenario expansion are accelerated, and key components such as dexterous hands/actuators are optimistic; 4) Self-satisfaction consumption: demographic changes have given birth to new consumption patterns, and we are optimistic about the high growth of secondary consumption/pet consumption.Shanghai's "trade-in" has driven consumption to exceed 10 billion yuan. According to the statistics of Shanghai Jiaodian Household Appliances Business Association, as of December 11, Shanghai's household appliances consumption subsidy activities have achieved remarkable results, and the number of people participating in the trade-in of household appliances in Shanghai has exceeded 3.57 million. The sales of eight categories of household appliances, including air conditioners, computers and refrigerators, covered by the state subsidy increased by 30%-40% year-on-year. During the implementation of the policy, the cumulative amount of subsidies reached 1.165 billion yuan, and the consumption of household appliances and household products by all platforms exceeded 10 billion yuan. (Liberation Daily)Li Tie's case was pronounced in the first instance today. The Procuratorate of Xianning City, Hubei Province accused Li Tie of five crimes, including bribery, bribery by the unit, bribery by non-state staff and bribery of non-state staff. It is understood that today, the court will make a first-instance judgment on this case. At present, the police car escorting Li Tie has entered the Xianning Intermediate People's Court. (CCTV News)
Central Bank of Peru: It is expected that the annual inflation rate and core inflation rate will remain within the expected range.Blinken: Providing 500 million U.S. dollars in aid to Ukraine. U.S. Secretary of State Blinken said that he would provide Ukraine with a 500 million U.S. dollar aid package, which includes providing "Haima" ammunition and unmanned aerial vehicle systems.Economic Daily commentator's article: Keep prices at a reasonable level. The Economic Daily issued a document saying that it is foreseeable that the implementation of macro-policies will create a better monetary and financial environment for economic growth and price stability, and also help to accelerate the formation of a virtuous circle of mutual promotion of consumption and investment, and promote a higher level of dynamic balance between supply and demand. Price is the "thermometer" of macroeconomic operation, the "wind vane" of market allocation of resources, and the "baton" of micro-management. Too high or too low is not conducive to economic and social development. In the short term, the decline in price level will help reduce the burden on consumers. However, if the price level continues to run at a low level, enterprises will "increase their income without increasing their profits", and the "involution" competition will intensify, and the motivation for expanding investment will weaken, which will further reduce employment opportunities and slow down the growth of wage income. Too low a price level will also raise the real interest rate, which may inhibit economic activities.
On the tariffs proposed by the Trump administration, Costco executives said that the company had faced tariffs in the past and believed that its businesses had the ability to cope with this situation.Broadcom's adjusted net revenue in the fourth quarter was $14.05 billion, with an expected $14.08 billion. Broadcom's adjusted net revenue in the fourth quarter was $14.05 billion, with an expected $14.08 billion. The adjusted earnings per share in the fourth quarter was $1.42, and it was expected to be $1.39; Revenue in the first quarter is expected to be about $14.6 billion, and analysts expect it to be $14.61 billion.At least 27 people were killed when the Israeli army bombed the central part of the Gaza Strip. According to a report by the Palestinian News Agency on the 12th, at least 27 people were killed, including women and children, and dozens of others were injured when the Israeli army bombed the Nuseilet refugee camp in the central part of the Gaza Strip that night.
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14